| Community prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in England from April to November, 2020: results from the ONS Coronavirus Infection Survey KB Pouwels, T House, E Pritchard, JV Robotham, PJ Birrell, A Gelman, ... The Lancet Public Health 6 (1), e30-e38, 2021 | 178 | 2021 |
| HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in England and Wales 2001–10: a nationwide population study PJ Birrell, ON Gill, VC Delpech, AE Brown, S Desai, TR Chadborn, ... The Lancet infectious diseases 13 (4), 313-318, 2013 | 170 | 2013 |
| Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London PJ Birrell, G Ketsetzis, NJ Gay, BS Cooper, AM Presanis, RJ Harris, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108 (45), 18238-18243, 2011 | 146 | 2011 |
| Ct threshold values, a proxy for viral load in community SARS-CoV-2 cases, demonstrate wide variation across populations and over time AS Walker, E Pritchard, T House, JV Robotham, PJ Birrell, I Bell, JI Bell, ... Elife 10, e64683, 2021 | 95 | 2021 |
| Real-time nowcasting and forecasting of COVID-19 dynamics in England: the first wave P Birrell, J Blake, E Van Leeuwen, N Gent, D De Angelis Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200279, 2021 | 88 | 2021 |
| Changes in severity of 2009 pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in England: a Bayesian evidence synthesis AM Presanis, RG Pebody, BJ Paterson, BDM Tom, PJ Birrell, A Charlett, ... Bmj 343, 2011 | 86 | 2011 |
| Prospects of elimination of HIV with test-and-treat strategy ME Kretzschmar, MF Schim van der Loeff, PJ Birrell, D De Angelis, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (39), 15538-15543, 2013 | 77 | 2013 |
| Four key challenges in infectious disease modelling using data from multiple sources D De Angelis, AM Presanis, PJ Birrell, GS Tomba, T House Epidemics 10, 83-87, 2015 | 69 | 2015 |
| Bayesian emulation and calibration of a dynamic epidemic model for A/H1N1 influenza M Farah, P Birrell, S Conti, DD Angelis Journal of the American Statistical Association 109 (508), 1398-1411, 2014 | 63 | 2014 |
| OutbreakTools: a new platform for disease outbreak analysis using the R software T Jombart, DM Aanensen, M Baguelin, P Birrell, S Cauchemez, ... Epidemics 7, 28-34, 2014 | 55 | 2014 |
| HIV in hiding: methods and data requirements for the estimation of the number of people living with undiagnosed HIV Working Group on Estimation of HIV Prevalence in Europe Aids 25 (8), 1017-1023, 2011 | 53 | 2011 |
| Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK S Funk, S Abbott, BD Atkins, M Baguelin, JK Baillie, P Birrell, J Blake, ... MedRxiv, 2020.11. 11.20220962, 2020 | 33 | 2020 |
| Symptoms and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) positivity in the general population in the United Kingdom KD Vihta, KB Pouwels, TEA Peto, E Pritchard, DW Eyre, T House, ... Clinical Infectious Diseases 75 (1), e329-e337, 2022 | 32 | 2022 |
| Joint modelling of serological and hospitalization data reveals that high levels of pre-existing immunity and school holidays shaped the influenza A pandemic of 2009 in the … DE Te Beest, PJ Birrell, J Wallinga, D De Angelis, M van Boven Journal of The Royal Society Interface 12 (103), 20141244, 2015 | 32 | 2015 |
| Evidence synthesis for stochastic epidemic models PJ Birrell, D De Angelis, AM Presanis Statistical science: a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical …, 2018 | 29 | 2018 |
| Estimating and modelling the transmissibility of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronaVirus during the 2015 outbreak in the Republic of Korea XS Zhang, R Pebody, A Charlett, D de Angelis, P Birrell, H Kang, ... Influenza and other respiratory viruses 11 (5), 434-444, 2017 | 29 | 2017 |
| Viral load in community SARS-CoV-2 cases varies widely and temporally AS Walker, E Pritchard, T House, JV Robotham, PJ Birrell, I Bell, JI Bell, ... MedRxiv, 2020.10. 25.20219048, 2020 | 28 | 2020 |
| Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling B Swallow, P Birrell, J Blake, M Burgman, P Challenor, LE Coffeng, ... Epidemics 38, 100547, 2022 | 26 | 2022 |
| Estimating trends in incidence, time-to-diagnosis and undiagnosed prevalence using a CD4-based Bayesian back-calculation PJ Birrell, TR Chadborn, ON Gill, VC Delpech, D De Angelis Statistical Communications in Infectious Diseases 4 (1), 2012 | 25 | 2012 |
| Trends in HIV testing, new diagnoses and people receiving HIV-related care in the United Kingdom: data to the end of December 2019 A Shah, S Sun, A Brown, S Nash, R Harris, P Kirwan, P Birrell, DD Angelis, ... Health Protection Report 14 (20), 2020 | 24 | 2020 |
