| “Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations AE Murr Electoral Studies 30 (4), 771-783, 2011 | 103 | 2011 |
| The wisdom of crowds: Applying Condorcet’s jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections AE Murr International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 916-929, 2015 | 64 | 2015 |
| The wisdom of crowds: What do citizens forecast for the 2015 British General Election? AE Murr Electoral Studies 41, 283-288, 2016 | 47 | 2016 |
| Mapping subnational poverty in Zambia A De la Fuente, A Murr, E Rascón World Bank, Washington, DC, 2015 | 46 | 2015 |
| Social networks and citizen election forecasting: The more friends the better D Leiter, A Murr, ER Ramírez, M Stegmaier International Journal of Forecasting 34 (2), 235-248, 2018 | 40 | 2018 |
| Vote expectations versus vote intentions: rival forecasting strategies AE Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck British Journal of Political Science 51 (1), 60-67, 2021 | 24 | 2021 |
| Modeling latent information in voting data with Dirichlet process priors R Traunmüller, A Murr, J Gill Political Analysis 23 (1), 1-20, 2015 | 14 | 2015 |
| The party leadership model: An early forecast of the 2015 British general election AE Murr Research & Politics 2 (2), 2053168015583346, 2015 | 13 | 2015 |
| Citizen forecasting 2020: A state-by-state experiment AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck PS: Political Science & Politics 54 (1), 91-95, 2021 | 9 | 2021 |
| Citizen forecasts of the 2021 German election AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck PS: Political Science & Politics 55 (1), 97-101, 2022 | 7 | 2022 |
| hot. deck: Multiple Hot-deck Imputation S Crammer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong R package version 1 (0), 2016 | 7 | 2016 |
| Citizen Forecasting: The 2022 French Presidential Election Y Dufresne, B Jérôme, MS Lewis-Beck, AE Murr, J Savoie PS: Political Science & Politics 55 (4), 730-734, 2022 | 5 | 2022 |
| Citizen forecasting 2019: a big win for the Conservatives A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck British Policy and Politics at LSE, 1-4, 2019 | 5 | 2019 |
| Citizen Forecasting in the 2010 British General Election AE Murr University of Essex, 2013 | 5 | 2013 |
| Do party leadership contests forecast British general elections? AE Murr Electoral Studies 72, 102342, 2021 | 4 | 2021 |
| Computing quantities of interest and their uncertainty using Bayesian simulation A Murr, R Traunmüller, J Gill Political Science Research and Methods 11 (3), 623-632, 2023 | 3 | 2023 |
| Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2016 | 2 | 2016 |
| Package ‘hot. deck’ S Cranmer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong, MD Armstrong | 1 | 2014 |
| Bürger: innenprognosen in einem Mischwahlsystem: Die deutsche Bundestagswahl 2021 als Testfall A Leininger, AE Murr, LF Stoetzer, MA Kayser Wahlen und Wähler: Analysen zur Bundestagswahl 2021, 383-411, 2024 | | 2024 |
| Voters’ Expectations in Constituency Elections without Local Polls LF Stoetzer, MA Kayser, A Leininger, AE Murr Public Opinion Quarterly, nfae015, 2024 | | 2024 |
Michael S. Lewis-BeckUniversity of IowaAdresse e-mail validée de uiowa.edu
